Bitcoin has moved from roughly $1,150 in 2013 to $19,800 in 2017, $69,000 in 2021, and around $126,200 in the 2025 cycle framework. Yet peak MVRV readings have moved in the opposite direction. That divergence may be one of the clearest signs that Bitcoin is still cyclical, but maturing fast.
Bitcoin MVRV Cycle Peaks: Higher Prices, Lower Euphoria Read More »
The latest Crisis Similarity configuration suggests markets are still shaped by tight monetary policy, selective financial stress and post-shock sensitivity. That is a very different macro regime from both 2008 and the dot-com unwind — and it has specific portfolio implications.
What Today’s Crisis Similarity Signals Actually Suggest for Investors Read More »
Oil is not just an energy story. For tech and crypto investors, it is a macro signal that can influence inflation expectations, rates, liquidity, valuations, and market sentiment. The real question is not whether oil can spike, but whether that spike becomes a lasting regime shift or a temporary shock that fades as supply normalizes.
Oil, Tech, and Crypto: What Investors Should Watch After the Energy Shock Read More »
Bitcoin investors often focus on price alone, but history suggests that cycle lows are usually shaped by both time and valuation stress. This article looks at realized price, historical post-ATH bottoming windows, and the most likely Bitcoin scenarios for 2026.
Bitcoin Cycle Low Outlook: What Realized Price and History Suggest for 2026 Read More »